Is there an IPTV boom in the making?

14 thoughts on “Is there an IPTV boom in the making?”

  1. I think the battle between “set top box” based TV over IP (aka IPTV) and PC based TV over IP (we call it MyPCTV (use My PC to run the TV) will be quite interesting, as:

    (i) A MyPCTV approach does not require STB subsidy in most households.

    (ii) IPTV is in effect an operator’s walled garden, MyPCTV is on the other hand a way to get Video based content off the Internet in a more lean back way than using say YouTube.

    I also agree that the hockey stick is just that…competing with cable triple plays will still be a major issue, especially if the IPTV does not do much more than offer the same channels as broadcasters do.

  2. FYI, neither Britain’s Homechoice (now about 6 years old) nor Canal+ in France would regard their full-service pay TV platforms as tests. The larger issue for EU countries, I’d suggest, is the unbundling of the local telco loop to allow the companies to ramp up home bandwidth.

  3. Sheesh, OM. From the linked press release:
    “Content is broadcast to conventional TV sets in the customary quality via the Bluewin set-top box which is connected to an ADSL or VDSL modem.”

    Which makes it no different from say, Verizon’s offering of FiOS TV. Why get so excited about a newly offered service which is simply same old TV onto conventional TV sets through different pipes? They claim that it’s “in line with their vision” of TV on the computer and such, but this is TV over a set-top box.

    Odd that you seemed so down on FiOS TV before but so excited over what’s basically the same service.

  4. There’s no doubt that IPTV will boom. It’s already occurring outside the U.S. and the uptake would be considered largely a success.

    The determining factors for the U.S. will be:
    1. Are consumers really anxiously waiting for alternative providers of pay-TV as Verizon and AT&T suggest
    2. Will these companies offer competitive or unique pricing packages
    3. Will the feature sets provided by telcos be enough to draw consumers from their existing satellite or cable service

    For instance, based upon Verizon FiOS customer feedback, consumers appear hungrier for the high bandwidth FiOS broadband service than FiOS TV. Makes sense considering FiOS offers a clear advantage over other broadband services.

  5. Om: I am equally suspicious of the classic hockey-stick chart that forecasts a billion-dollar market seven years out.

    I think you are right to separate the potential of IPTV between countries where there is not a lot of current infrastructure vs the U.S. market. Clearly if there is no cable-TV or if cable is not widely deployed, IPTV can appeal to customers. Not so hard to compete against non-consumption.

    But in North America or other markets where a multi-channel distribution infrastructure is well established, the telco deployments of ipTV I have seen appear to be me-too services. They could actually be better than cable in some measure, but the track record of successful innovators shows that trying to beat incumbent suppliers at their own game doesn’t drive a lot of business to new entrants.

    Instead, would-be IPTV companies competing against dominant cable or satellite systems (in the U.K) need to take a disruptive approach. Aiming for the mainstream market with better TV, or more channels, is a recipe for spending billions and going nowhere.

    A disruptive approach is counterintuitive, difficult and not about technology. Some of the most successful companies today show that a disruptive strategy pays off by focussing on:
    *Inferior initial product or service (Metro International newspapers)
    *Marginal initial market (BlackBerry)
    *Customization (Starbucks)
    *Simplicity (iPod)
    *Focus on an aspect of the service that is perceived as inferior (Dell’s direct sales)

    JumpTV (home-country TV for new immigrants) may be an example of a disruptive IPTV service, although it would seem they are losing money by spending well in advance of customer demand.

    More ideas on disruption and TV at:
    http://www.ondisruption.com/myweblog/2006/08/disruptiontv_j.html

  6. Why shoulda I care about wether my TV comes over IP or TCP or UDP?

    I mean right now I have service from comcast and I get both TV and internet from the same service provider and I can work on my laptop while watching TV …

  7. damaka Hybrid IPTV + VoIP In One Interface

    OM, I completely agree with you. IPTV will become a big business sooner than later.

    I have been using P2P SIP-based VoIP application “damaka” for a few months now and they have recently released their version of IPTV.

    This bundling of IPTV with VoIP can very interesting, especially for Telcos and Cable companies that are looking to offer Triple/Quad play.

    Check out their website: Damaka.com

    and the other 2 links I found:

    1) TVNinja
    http://www.tvninja.com/damaka-hybrid-iptv-voip-in-one-interface.php

    2) Collaboration Loop
    http://www.collaborationloop.com/blogs/online-entertainment-2.htm

    Its a step in the right direction. All they need to do is tie up with content providers and there is another business model for VoIP players than just Phone/Video minutes.

    SWoods…

  8. As it is said, the game is afoot…

    And the game is Broadband TV vs. TV over Broadband.

    Whoever combines TV-class QoS to a customer’s TV set seamlessly, and with a comparable lineup of the 20 or so most popular channels people watch the most, then you have a winner. People don’t care how it gets there, as long as they have control and choice.

    If CPE vendors solve the “last yards” problem of getting IP-based content to the TV with high quality and low hassle (watch Apple’s iTV), then watch others follow suit.

    Or, if competing service providers solve the profitability problems of carrying video over newer broadband networks (Verizon, ATT), maybe they have a shot.

    Frankly, I think the kids want better broadband, and don’t care where they get video…they get enough of it from broadband. I think the game is heavily weighted to TV over Broadband for now. Broadband TV, or IPTV, has a LONG road to travel. And children are our future…customers, that is :$

    surf |:->

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