3 thoughts on “Syndeo out of biz”

  1. I agree w/ the last bit – the numbers/deployments do not match the hype around VoIP. During the dot com boom, we used to hear some measures (traffic, subscribers, eyeballs) that, while not indicative of revenue, at least signalled an uptake among the massess. For VoIP, however, service providers’ claims about VoIPs popularity aired without any supporting data on subscriber bases.

  2. I suspect for invetors in the so called “soft-switch” market, this is the tip of the iceburg. I agree — this is the “Rise of the Stupid Network” at play – kudos to the earlier poster and to Dave Isenberg.

    The Syndeo meltdown is most likely from the impact just starting to occur from OpenSource solutions such as SER (SIP Express Router), Asterisk (A full-fleded soft-switch when coupled with openSS7), YATE, Vocal/Vovida.org as well as SIPFoundry.org – means that *anyone* in the soft-switch biz will have a short-term life.
    OpenSource VoIP Servers are now robust, secure, reliable and thanks to SIP interop with anything with ease. Opensource impact on voip will really hit in 2005.

    Vendors such as Cisco, NortelNetworks, Lucent, VocalData, Broadsoft, Mitel, and Sylantro Tekelec should take a lesson from history of the the unix web server daemon, httpd which serves up html pages.

    Remember when the Netscape
    Publishing server was a $250,000.00 product? As were similar systems from Silicon Graphics, Apple, SUN and Microsoft?

    Apache, the opensource web server coupled with opensource database servers such as Tomcat and Postgress or MySQL obliterated that market – with the exception of the MSIS or Microsoft Internet Server system which is chock full of security holes and is *given* away for free in its bundling with the OS.

    Opensource web servers and VoIP servers runningn software such as GnuH323Gatekeeper, OpenH323, SER or Columbia.edu SIPd of course run on a multitude of OS’s – from the many distrobutions of Linux (about 30) to NetBSD, the highly secure OpenBSD, FreeBSD MacOsX or Solaris – on almost any hardware platform – SUN, Apple, Dell, AMD or Intel PC’s – anything from a Pentium II to 64Bit 3ghz AMD – scalable, clusterable and robust – just like the venerable Internet DNS system.

    IMHO everyone and anyone who can install Linux, run `$make ; make install’ will be able to run their own softswitch with SIP, MGCP, H323,(and now even SCCP or H248) voice-mail, ANI, SS7, TDM-to-IP or ethernet trunking – the whole nine yards; and that’s today not tomorrow.

    How many remember back to the famous comment from Thomas Watson at IBM in the late 1940’s when he said that there might be a world wide market for perhaps 6-12 digital computers? We always overestimate the impact of a technology in the short-term but *underestimate* it in the long term.

    Q:
    How big is the market for “soft-switches”? –common analyst wisdom is that with ILEC and mobile Service provider consolidation globally, the market is getting pretty small.

    Well, I run Asterisk 1.02 on Linux on my HP Ommnibook 6000 laptop – why? I link my sip calls from Pulvers FWD (sip:33722@fwd.pulver.com) to my Xten SIP phone on my PDA, or to my mobile – I control the voip network and inject calls into the PSTN under my own routing rules…

    Competition and winning business models will have to evolve based on original ideas and services – things you can *build with the tools* – not just moving the data and making a phone ring.

    The future for voice telephony is going to get *fun*…

    -JR
    btw, Sorry for long post… just felt this needed to be said.
    Seasons greetings!

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