[qi:010] How much is a 5 percent stake in Facebook worth? $300 million? $500 million? $750 million? It all depends on how desperate the buyer is and how well Mark Zuckerberg can play a game of corporate poker. Rational thinking long ago flew out the window when it comes to anything Facebook.
The Wall Street Journal, citing unnamed sources, is reporting that Facebook and Microsoft (MSFT) are in early talks about an investment that could value Facebook at upwards of $10 billion. Although the valuation is huge, the talks themselves shouldn’t come as a surprise, for Microsoft executives have long been enamored of the fast-growing social network based in Palo Alto, Calif.
If the Z-meister takes the cash, then in a sense he is getting an
put call option from Microsoft, which prevents Facebook from embracing anyone else. Like Google (GOOG). It also ensures that Microsoft’s advertising business doesn’t go elsewhere…ever! The Journal says that fresh cash is needed to buy others and pay for infrastructure investments.
Of course, when you have little a monetization issue, like Facebook has (and refuses to talk about), it is time to get OPM: other people’s money!
29 thoughts on “Microsoft Wants A Piece Of Facebook?”
$10 billion? Jesus…well at least that figure is keeping it out of Google’s clutches…
Lets not put our heads too much into it before it is reliably learned from named source.
I call unnamed sources as rumours..
This might be a good moment for people to consider what that inventory is really worth. Unless MSFT has some novel way to get the CPMs to something reasonble, that’s an awful lot to pay for an insurance policy against further Google dominance.
Microsoft already has an invesment in a social networking website. Does anybody remember Wallop? I guess if the one you invest in doesn’t do well, you can buy your way into one that is successful. That’s the great thing about free cash flow.
I am told Wallop is getting big in China, though doesn’t have much traction locally. Anyway i think this is going to be an interesting quarter and would love to watch Google’ response.
Could you explain what you mean by:
“If the Z-meister takes the cash, then in a sense he is getting a put option from Microsoft, which prevents Facebook from embracing anyone else”
How is Facebook getting a put option from Microsoft, and how does it prevent them from embracing anyone else?
Microsoft, Google, and Yahoo! are fighting for it all these days. Microsoft and Yahoo! will do anything they think will allow them to catch up with Google. A WSJ article this morning even said that Microsoft is using its backroom connections to get ad firms, Time Warner, and AT&T to not support the Google-Doubleclick deal. I found the maps on NewsVisual http://www.newsvisual.com/newsvisual/2007/09/microsoft-ties-.html that show the connections Microsoft may have used to pressure Time Warner and AT&T.
They must have listened to your comments in our little conversation…
I don’t think Facebook needs corporate investors at this stage. Why wouldn’t Microsoft buy up the entire company? Seems like a very small bet.
I think this is a high risk investment. While google spreads their advertisement revenues over many different platforms, Microsoft will be forced to monetize their investment on Facebook by creating more advertisement pressure on the Facebook users. That is a risky strategy. If you’re interested I wrote more about that on:
Maybe if Microsoft is involved, fewer corporations will block FaceBook on their networks.
I think you mean “call option”…
Nevertheless, the strength of any first refusal right will depend on the terms of the investment agreement and may not prevent Facebook from acting independently. Yahoo, after all, had an investment in Google that didn’t prevent Google from going public.
good catch. thank you. made the change on the post.
Microsoft is really trying to get back into the game, and if anyone could do this, its the giant himself..I’d be inclined to dismiss this as a rumour right now, but who knows!
btw, OM, my husband is your greatest fan, he reads your blog daily, just never leaves comments:) Kudos for doing a great job here!!